Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush Prediction & Prop Bet Picks (UFC 262)

UPDATE: We did really well with Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush prediction, picking Dariush to win by points. And he did! Those who followed our betting advice are now showering in cash (at least we like to think that). Luckily, those who missed this chance have another opportunity! Actually, several opportunities:

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UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler is the event that will see Tony Ferguson returning to the octagon after two straight wins in 2020. In fact, the Ferguson vs Dariush is going to be the first fight for El Cucuy in 2021. Beneil Dariush, on the other hand, fought one UFC bout in February, in which he defeated Carlos Diego Ferreira by decision.

• Date: May 15, 2021
• Event: UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
• Place: Toyota Center

Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush Odds

Ferguson vs Dariush Preview

As you can see from the Ferguson odds, the former UFC Lightweight title challenger is the underdog. Odds of +140 seem pretty long, but there’s plenty of time for them to change – the fight happens in nearly seven weeks.

We at the FatCatBet are certain the odds will change in the next couple of weeks. That said, we also believe Dariush will remain the favorite. Why? The number 1 reason is that Tony Ferguson has been really bad lately.

Menta and emotional issues, combined with the fact that he’s already 37 have made El Cucoy seem past his prime. Still, he can prove everyone wrong by winning the Ferguson vs Dariush bout on May 15.

Winning that fight is important for both fighters, not only for keeping their UFC careers alive but for another reason. The winner of the Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush fight could get a shot at the UFC Lightweight title.

With Khabib Nurmagomedov retiring, the Lightweight Championship belt is left vacant, with Oliveira vs Chandler battling for it at UFC 262.

The winner of that bout could end up defending the title against the winner of the Ferguson vs Dariush fight later this year.

Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush H2H

Is It Time for Tony Ferguson’s Struggles to End?

Tony Ferguson went through a rough period in 2020. Actually, it all started in 2019, after his wife Cristina Ferguson filed a restraining order against him, citing paranoid behavior as the reason.

According to her, Tony had spent several days without sleep, destroying things around the house along the way. At that time, he was convinced a tracker was inserted in his knee during a reconstructive operation.

Ferguson had that episode in March 2019, but then in June the same year, he beat Donald Cerrone by TKO. His next bout was supposed to be the fight with undefeated UFC legend Khabib Nurmagomedov.

However, the super-fight, which had already been postponed many times, ended up canceled. This time, the reason was the COVID-19. Due to travel restrictions, Khabib was not able to leave his native Russia.

Instead of Khabib, Justin Gaethje stepped in. Ferguson and him went toe-to-toe in a fight for the UFC Lightweight title. Although Ferguson was a huge favorite, Gaethje won the fight, robbing El Cucoy off the championship belt, as well as off the chance to fight Khabib.

Gaethje went to defend the title against Khabib (and lost) in October 2020; Tony Ferguson went to fight Charles Oliveira in December. Once again, Tony was the favorite, but once again, he lost.

At the age of 37, Ferguson isn’t going to have many other chances to write his name in the UFC history books. Winning the bout against Dariush might be his last opportunity.

Six Straight UFC Wins for Beneil Dariush Since 2018

Tony Ferguson seems desperate to get back on the winning track. The bad news is that it’s not going to be easy as his next opponent is a fantastic fighter, who’s without a loss in six bouts. In fact, Beneil Dariush, who previously lost a fight in March 2018, is the favorite to win this fight.

Dariush is an all-around player, who seems capable of beating the opponent in any imaginable way. In his professional career, he’s won fights by the following methods:

• Spinning backfist (knockout)
• Flying knee (knockout)
• Punches (knockout)
• Rear-naked choke (submission)
• Triangle armbar (submission)
• Arm-triangle choke (submission)
• Armbar (submission)

Thirteen of his MMA wins happened before the final bell, while seven of his fights went the distance. What’s interesting is that every of Dariush’s professional bouts that were decided by points were won by him. At the age of 31, he has zero losses by points.

Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush Prediction

No one can deny that Dariush is a fantastic fighter, but the fact is that he hasn’t faced as a high-ranked fighter as Tony Ferguson before. Actually, Dariush doesn’t have any big-name scalps in his collection. The highest-ranked fighter he’s beaten is Carlos Diego Ferreira, who is currently #12 in the UFC Lightweight Rankings.

Meanwhile, Tony Ferguson is a UFC legend, who’s already proven his quality on numerous occasions. If he can keep his focus, he can surely win this fight. And considering that the betting odds are so long on Ferguson winning, it’s definitely tempting to back him.

FatCatBet’s Picks for Ferguson vs Dariush Prop Bets

We think Tony Ferguson still isn’t strong enough mentally to get back on the winning track. He surely has the skills to win this fight, but so does his opponent. That said, if we had to pick one fighter, we’d go for Dariush.

When it comes to Ferguson vs Dariush prop bets, we have to focus on the method of victory.

With Ferguson losing his previous two fights, he’ll surely want to take a more cautious approach. Rather than letting his inner beast come out, he’ll probably have a more tactical approach. And that means that we could see the Ferguson vs Dariush fight go the distance!

That said, if the fight is going to be decided by the UFC judges, this could be the first fight in which Dariush is going to win by decision.

Our Ferguson vs Dariush Picks:

• Dariush to Win
• Ferguson vs Dariush Fight to Go the Distance
• Ferguson vs Dariush Fight to be Decided by Points
• Dariush to Win by Points